Influenced by different factors in various industries, the paper industry is inevitably affected. Coupled with the lack of demand and overcapacity, the paper industry is in serious difficulties. In the first eight months of 2012, the national paper production and paperboard exceeded 76.77 million tons, an increase of 5.30%. Among them, the output in August exceeded 9.75 million tons, an increase of 2.55%. The year-on-year growth rate in August was the 2012 low, which also indicates that the paper industry is in a downturn.
The paper industry analyst pointed out that the overall environment of the paper industry in the second half of 2012 is that although China's macroeconomic growth rate has a large decline compared with the first half of 2012, the economic aggregate is still growing, and the monthly operation is slow and moderate. stable. China's series of measures to stabilize growth will continue to introduce policies conducive to economic growth in the second half of 2012. Driven by the rigid consumption of the food industry, China's light industry has already shown a trend of stabilizing and stabilizing. This situation has brought favorable conditions for the recovery of the paper industry.
The five major trends in the development of the paper industry in 2012:
One: The paper consumption market as a whole showed growth, but the growth rate slowed down.
Second: the paper industry is more competitive in the market, and the decline in the profits of paper companies will spread.
Third: The investment rate of the paper industry is further slowing down, the expansion rate of enterprises is slowing down, and the excess capacity of the paper industry will be slowly digested over time.
Fourth: The paper industry will begin a new road of reshuffle, and the backward paper-making small enterprises will be eliminated at an accelerated pace. The merger and reorganization of large enterprises will become an important measure for the development of the industry's optimization and upgrading.
Five: With the increasing cost pressure, this has promoted the application of revolutionary new technologies. The strategic emerging products with significant energy-saving effects such as biological enzymes and beating equipment have been sought after by enterprises, and the paper industry will shift from speed to quality. The road to sustainable development.
The "2012 China Paper Market Analysis and Research Report" shows that the recent weakening of the price of paper raw materials and downstream products has not improved significantly, and the fundamentals of the paper industry have not yet appeared. Influenced by the factors of raw material procurement and inventory cycle, the price change of raw materials is transmitted to the operating cost and net profit of the enterprise within a period of one year, and the main factors of raw material price change are the main constraints. At the same time, the signal that the downstream demand is weakened can generally be quickly transmitted to the raw material price.
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