1. At present, China has entered the ranks of the world's major papermaking producers, major consumers, and major importers, and will develop in the direction of a strong papermaking country in the future.
Since the reform and opening up, China's paper industry has risen rapidly and the demand for paper products has grown rapidly. In 2001, the output of paper and paperboard was 32 million tons; the consumption was 36.83 million tons; the per capita consumption was 29 kilograms; the import volume of paper and board was 5.59 million tons, and the export volume was 760,000 tons. 4.9 million tons of imported pulp, more than 10,000 tons of exports, 6.42 million tons of imported waste paper, less than 1,000 tons of exports, 280,000 tons of paper products, 770,000 tons of exports, 17.19 million tons of imports, and 6.4 billion US dollars of foreign exchange. China ranks third in terms of imports of major imported commodities, second only to oil and steel. Total exports amounted to 1.54 million tons, and foreign exchange earned was US$1.5 billion. In 2001, China's paper and board production volume and consumption ranks second in the world, second only to the United States. At present, China has entered the ranks of the world's major paper-producing countries, major consumers, and importing countries, and has attracted much attention from the international industry.
In recent years, although China's paper industry has made great progress, but with the rapid development of China's economy and changes in market demand, the structural contradiction of the paper industry is also increasingly prominent, mainly in the lack of effective product supply capacity.
If compared with the developed paper industry in the United States, the annual output of paper and board is 80.75 million tons in the United States and 32 million tons in China; the consumption in the United States is 87.9 million tons, China is 36.83 million tons; the per capita consumption level in the United States is 324 kg. China has 29 kilograms, and both production and consumption are at a relatively low level. The current status of China's paper industry reflects both the problem and the paper industry's tremendous potential for development in China.
In the 21st century, China's paper industry will be in a period of structural adjustment and industrial upgrading. It will intensify efforts to speed up the adjustment of raw materials, products, scale, technology, and investment structure, improve the company's ability for continuous innovation and competitiveness, and accelerate the modernization of China's paper industry. The process has made China's papermaking industry develop in the direction of a strong papermaking country.
Second, the prospects for the development of China's paper industry are bright and long-term.
In the next decade, China's paper industry will remain in a period of adjustment and development. With the development of China's economy, the acceleration of urbanization, the improvement of people’s living standards, and the upgrading of the consumption structure, the supply and demand of the domestic paper products market will continue to grow rapidly. The paper industry has a huge market development space. Industry insiders predict that the consumption of paper and paperboard in 2005 will be 50 million tons, an average annual increase of 6.8%, and the per capita consumption will be 38 kg; by 2015, the consumption of paper and paperboard will reach 80 million tons, with an average annual growth of 4.8 million. Per capita consumption will reach 56 kilograms, which is higher than the current world average consumption level.
The continuous increase in consumer demand will be a powerful driving force for the development of the paper industry. At the same time, the growth in fixed asset investment will also be an important factor in driving the growth of China's paper industry. The future development of China's paper industry will require both consumption and investment. Therefore, for a long period of time in the future, in order to meet the demand of the paper market, China needs to increase investment, accelerate technological transformation, and upgrade and develop the paper industry. At the same time, it still needs to maintain a high level of imports.
China’s economic reforms have continued to show steady and sustained growth. Last year, China’s economic growth rate was 7.3%, and it is expected to reach 7.8% this year. It is predicted that it will be around 8% next year. From the perspective of China’s domestic environment, China’s economic reforms in the future will enter a new stage of comprehensive deepening, bold innovation, and steady progress. The country will continue to implement the expansion of domestic demand, active fiscal policies, and stable monetary policies. Investment will be Continue to maintain a high rate of growth. At the same time, it will further increase the degree of opening to the outside world, broaden the scope of opening up, and so on
In short, China will provide a relaxed macroeconomic policy environment both at home and abroad. This will provide investors with space and opportunities for business activities and provide favorable conditions for the development of China's paper industry.
Although the future development of China's paper industry will face difficulties in terms of resources and funds, as long as we work hard and keep forging ahead, China's paper industry will certainly become a modern papermaking industry based on the world's forests. The development of China's paper industry will also be It will have a very important impact on the development of the world paper industry.